Vélez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes de La Plata prediction
Sunday 6 September 2026, 01:15, José Amalfitani
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Vélez Sarsfield a 37% chance of winning, 35% for a draw and 29% for Estudiantes de La Plata. Expected goals: Vélez Sarsfield 1.0, Estudiantes de La Plata 0.8. Most likely score: 0-0.
VEL37%Draw35%EST29%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home37%✓Fair odds 2.73Double chanceHome or draw71%✓Fair odds 1.40Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.573%✓Fair odds 1.38Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.555%✗Fair odds 1.81Both teams to scoreNo63%✓Fair odds 1.58Correct score0-017%✗Fair odds 5.79Draw no betHome56%✓Fair odds 1.78Asian handicapAway +0.563%✗Fair odds 1.58Odd/Even goalsEven53%✗Fair odds 1.87First team to scoreHome45%✓Fair odds 2.24Win to nilHome26%✓Fair odds 3.84
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 55% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11% |
| Both teams score | 37% |
Most likely scores
- 0-017.3%
- 1-014.9%
- 1-114.4%
- 0-112.5%
- 2-07.8%
Recent form
Vélez Sarsfield
- DDeportivo Riestra 1-1 Vélez Sarsfield
- DRiver Plate 2-2 Vélez Sarsfield
- DVélez Sarsfield 1-1 Defensa y Justicia
- DBoca Juniors 1-1 Vélez Sarsfield
- WVélez Sarsfield 1-0 Independiente
Estudiantes de La Plata
- DEstudiantes de La Plata 0-0 Newell's Old Boys
- LSarmiento (Junín) 2-0 Estudiantes de La Plata
- WEstudiantes de La Plata 4-0 Gimnasia La Plata
- LDeportivo Riestra 2-0 Estudiantes de La Plata
- LBoca Juniors 1-0 Estudiantes de La Plata
Head to head
- WEstudiantes de La Plata 0-1 Vélez Sarsfield
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.