Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia (Mendoza) prediction
Sunday 18 October 2026, 00:00, José Amalfitani
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Vélez Sarsfield a 51% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 21% for Gimnasia (Mendoza). Expected goals: Vélez Sarsfield 1.6, Gimnasia (Mendoza) 0.9. Most likely score: 1-1.
VEL51%Draw27%GMZ21%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home51%✓Fair odds 1.95Double chanceHome or draw79%✓Fair odds 1.27Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.555%✓Fair odds 1.82Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.572%✗Fair odds 1.39Both teams to scoreNo52%✓Fair odds 1.94Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.69Draw no betHome71%✓Fair odds 1.42Asian handicapAway +1.573%✓Fair odds 1.37Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome57%✓Fair odds 1.76Win to nilHome31%✓Fair odds 3.27
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% |
| Both teams score | 48% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-012.2%
- 2-010.2%
- 0-09.4%
- 2-19.4%
Recent form
Vélez Sarsfield
- LLanús 2-0 Vélez Sarsfield
- DVélez Sarsfield 2-2 Platense
- WVélez Sarsfield 3-2 Tigre
- DNewell's Old Boys 1-1 Vélez Sarsfield
- WVélez Sarsfield 1-0 Estudiantes de La Plata
Gimnasia (Mendoza)
- WGimnasia (Mendoza) 1-0 Newell's Old Boys
- LEstudiantes de La Plata 3-0 Gimnasia (Mendoza)
- DGimnasia (Mendoza) 0-0 Deportivo Riestra
- LDefensa y Justicia 2-0 Gimnasia (Mendoza)
- DGimnasia (Mendoza) 2-2 Boca Juniors
Head to head
- LGimnasia (Mendoza) 3-2 Vélez Sarsfield
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.