Vélez Sarsfield vs Platense prediction
Monday 5 October 2026, 23:00, José Amalfitani
Full time: 2-2
Our prediction
The model gives Vélez Sarsfield a 60% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 14% for Platense. Expected goals: Vélez Sarsfield 1.6, Platense 0.7. Most likely score: 1-0.
VEL60%Draw26%PLA14%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home60%✗Fair odds 1.67Double chanceHome or draw86%✓Fair odds 1.16Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.560%✗Fair odds 1.66Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.567%✓Fair odds 1.49Both teams to scoreNo61%✗Fair odds 1.65Correct score1-016%✗Fair odds 6.31Draw no betHome81%Fair odds 1.23Asian handicapHome -0.560%✗Fair odds 1.67Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome63%✓Fair odds 1.58Win to nilHome41%✗Fair odds 2.44
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Both teams score | 39% |
Most likely scores
- 1-015.8%
- 2-013.6%
- 1-111.7%
- 0-011.2%
- 2-18.8%
Recent form
Vélez Sarsfield
- WVélez Sarsfield 3-2 Tigre
- DNewell's Old Boys 1-1 Vélez Sarsfield
- WVélez Sarsfield 1-0 Estudiantes de La Plata
- DDeportivo Riestra 1-1 Vélez Sarsfield
- DRiver Plate 2-2 Vélez Sarsfield
Platense
- LPlatense 0-1 Newell's Old Boys
- LEstudiantes de La Plata 2-1 Platense
- DPlatense 1-1 Deportivo Riestra
- LDefensa y Justicia 1-0 Platense
- WBarracas Central 1-2 Platense
Head to head
- WPlatense 0-2 Vélez Sarsfield
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.