Vélez Sarsfield vs Tigre prediction
Monday 21 September 2026, 01:30, José Amalfitani
Full time: 3-2
Our prediction
The model gives Vélez Sarsfield a 42% chance of winning, 35% for a draw and 23% for Tigre. Expected goals: Vélez Sarsfield 1.1, Tigre 0.7. Most likely score: 0-0.
VEL42%Draw35%TIG23%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home42%✓Fair odds 2.36Double chanceHome or draw77%✓Fair odds 1.30Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.574%✗Fair odds 1.34Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.553%✓Fair odds 1.88Both teams to scoreNo66%✗Fair odds 1.51Correct score0-018%✗Fair odds 5.42Draw no betHome65%✓Fair odds 1.54Asian handicapAway +0.558%✗Fair odds 1.74Odd/Even goalsEven54%✗Fair odds 1.87First team to scoreHome49%✓Fair odds 2.04Win to nilHome31%✗Fair odds 3.18
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 53% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 26% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 10% |
| Both teams score | 34% |
Most likely scores
- 0-018.4%
- 1-017.3%
- 1-113.8%
- 0-111.1%
- 2-09.6%
Recent form
Vélez Sarsfield
- DNewell's Old Boys 1-1 Vélez Sarsfield
- WVélez Sarsfield 1-0 Estudiantes de La Plata
- DDeportivo Riestra 1-1 Vélez Sarsfield
- DRiver Plate 2-2 Vélez Sarsfield
- DVélez Sarsfield 1-1 Defensa y Justicia
Tigre
- LTigre 0-1 Rosario Central
- LGimnasia La Plata 2-1 Tigre
- DTigre 0-0 Barracas Central
- WTigre 2-1 Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)
- DAldosivi 0-0 Tigre
Head to head
- DTigre 1-1 Vélez Sarsfield
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.