VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund prediction
Saturday 19 September 2026, 17:30, MHPArena
Full time: 0-1
Our prediction
The model gives VfB Stuttgart a 39% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 37% for Borussia Dortmund. Expected goals: VfB Stuttgart 1.8, Borussia Dortmund 1.7. Most likely score: 1-1.
VFB39%Draw24%DOR37%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home39%✗Fair odds 2.55Double chanceEither team76%✓Fair odds 1.31Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.567%✗Fair odds 1.49Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.587%✗Fair odds 1.15Both teams to scoreYes68%✗Fair odds 1.46Correct score1-110%✗Fair odds 9.83Draw no betHome52%✗Fair odds 1.94Asian handicapAway +0.561%✓Fair odds 1.64Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome49%✗Fair odds 2.05Win to nilHome14%✗Fair odds 6.96
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% |
| Both teams score | 68% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.2%
- 2-18.3%
- 1-28%
- 2-27%
- 2-04.9%
Recent form
VfB Stuttgart
- LTSG Hoffenheim 2-1 VfB Stuttgart
- WVfB Stuttgart 3-1 Viking FK
- WVfB Stuttgart 4-1 FC Cologne
- LBayern Munich 5-1 VfB Stuttgart
- DEintracht Frankfurt 2-2 VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Dortmund
- WBorussia Dortmund 3-0 SC Paderborn 07
- WBorussia Dortmund 3-2 Villarreal
- WTSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Borussia Dortmund
- WBorussia Dortmund 2-0 Hamburg SV
- WWerder Bremen 0-2 Borussia Dortmund
Head to head
- LVfB Stuttgart 0-2 Borussia Dortmund
- DBorussia Dortmund 3-3 VfB Stuttgart
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.