VfB Stuttgart vs FC Cologne prediction
Friday 4 September 2026, 19:30, MHPArena
Full time: 4-1
Our prediction
The model gives VfB Stuttgart a 67% chance of winning, 18% for a draw and 15% for FC Cologne. Expected goals: VfB Stuttgart 2.6, FC Cologne 1.2. Most likely score: 2-1.
VFB67%Draw18%KOE15%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home67%✓Fair odds 1.49Double chanceHome or draw85%✓Fair odds 1.18Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.574%✓Fair odds 1.35Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.590%✓Fair odds 1.11Both teams to scoreYes66%✓Fair odds 1.51Correct score2-19%✗Fair odds 11.16Draw no betHome82%✓Fair odds 1.23Asian handicapHome -0.567%✓Fair odds 1.49Odd/Even goalsEven51%✗Fair odds 1.96First team to scoreHome66%✓Fair odds 1.50Win to nilHome27%✗Fair odds 3.74
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 54% |
| Both teams score | 66% |
Most likely scores
- 2-19%
- 3-17.9%
- 1-17.4%
- 2-07.3%
- 3-06.4%
Recent form
VfB Stuttgart
- LBayern Munich 5-1 VfB Stuttgart
- DEintracht Frankfurt 2-2 VfB Stuttgart
- WVfB Stuttgart 3-1 Bayer Leverkusen
- DTSG Hoffenheim 3-3 VfB Stuttgart
- DVfB Stuttgart 1-1 Werder Bremen
FC Cologne
- WFC Cologne 3-2 TSG Hoffenheim
- LBayern Munich 5-1 FC Cologne
- LFC Cologne 1-3 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
- D1. FC Union Berlin 2-2 FC Cologne
- LFC Cologne 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen
Head to head
- WVfB Stuttgart 3-1 FC Cologne
- WFC Cologne 1-2 VfB Stuttgart
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.