Watford vs Burnley prediction
Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00, Vicarage Road
Full time: 0-4
Our prediction
The model gives Watford a 42% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 29% for Burnley. Expected goals: Watford 1.4, Burnley 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
WAT42%Draw28%BUR29%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home42%✗Fair odds 2.37Double chanceEither team72%✓Fair odds 1.40Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.553%✗Fair odds 1.88Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.573%✓Fair odds 1.36Both teams to scoreYes52%✗Fair odds 1.91Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.38Draw no betHome59%✗Fair odds 1.70Asian handicapAway +0.558%✓Fair odds 1.73Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome50%✗Fair odds 1.98Win to nilHome23%✗Fair odds 4.31
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% |
| Both teams score | 52% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.6%
- 1-010%
- 2-18.9%
- 0-08.8%
- 0-17.9%
Recent form
Watford
- LBristol City 1-0 Watford
- LWatford 1-2 Stoke City
- WWatford 2-1 Preston North End
- LWest Bromwich Albion 1-0 Watford
- LSwansea City 2-0 Watford
Burnley
- DBurnley 1-1 Derby County
- LSwansea City 3-1 Burnley
- DWrexham 1-1 Burnley
- LBurnley 1-2 Bristol City
- DBurnley 1-1 Middlesbrough
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.