Watford vs Middlesbrough prediction

Saturday 7 November 2026, 16:00, Vicarage Road

Our prediction

The model gives Watford a 20% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 56% for Middlesbrough. Expected goals: Watford 1.0, Middlesbrough 1.9. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams score56%

Most likely scores

  • 1-111.3%
  • 1-29.9%
  • 0-29.6%
  • 0-19.3%
  • 1-36.3%

Recent form

Watford

  • LNorwich City 3-2 Watford
  • LWolverhampton Wanderers 1-0 Watford
  • WWatford 2-0 Charlton Athletic
  • LCardiff City 5-1 Watford
  • LWatford 0-4 Burnley

Middlesbrough

  • WMiddlesbrough 3-0 Charlton Athletic
  • WBolton Wanderers 1-5 Middlesbrough
  • DMiddlesbrough 2-2 Cardiff City
  • WStoke City 2-3 Middlesbrough
  • WMiddlesbrough 1-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers

Head to head

  • LMiddlesbrough 5-1 Watford
  • WWatford 3-0 Middlesbrough

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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