Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig prediction
Saturday 5 September 2026, 14:30, Weserstadion
Full time: 3-1
Our prediction
The model gives Werder Bremen a 21% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 54% for RB Leipzig. Expected goals: Werder Bremen 1.1, RB Leipzig 1.8. Most likely score: 1-1.
SVW21%Draw25%RBL54%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away54%✗Fair odds 1.85Double chanceAway or draw79%✗Fair odds 1.27Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.555%✓Fair odds 1.81Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.579%✓Fair odds 1.26Both teams to scoreYes56%✓Fair odds 1.79Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.57Draw no betAway72%✗Fair odds 1.39Asian handicapHome +1.569%✓Fair odds 1.46Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreAway59%✗Fair odds 1.69Win to nilAway28%✗Fair odds 3.58
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Both teams score | 56% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.7%
- 1-29.9%
- 0-19.2%
- 0-29.2%
- 0-06.4%
Recent form
Werder Bremen
- LSC Freiburg 4-1 Werder Bremen
- LWerder Bremen 0-2 Borussia Dortmund
- LTSG Hoffenheim 1-0 Werder Bremen
- LWerder Bremen 1-3 FC Augsburg
- DVfB Stuttgart 1-1 Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig
- WRB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach
- LSC Freiburg 4-1 RB Leipzig
- WRB Leipzig 2-1 St. Pauli
- LBayer Leverkusen 4-1 RB Leipzig
- WRB Leipzig 3-1 1. FC Union Berlin
Head to head
- LWerder Bremen 1-2 RB Leipzig
- LRB Leipzig 2-0 Werder Bremen
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.