West Ham United vs Southampton prediction

Saturday 24 October 2026, 15:00, London Stadium

Full time: 2-3

Our prediction

The model gives West Ham United a 46% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 30% for Southampton. Expected goals: West Ham United 1.8, Southampton 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams score63%

Most likely scores

  • 1-111.2%
  • 2-19.2%
  • 1-27.3%
  • 2-06.6%
  • 1-06.6%

Recent form

West Ham United

  • WSwansea City 0-1 West Ham United
  • WLincoln City 0-6 West Ham United
  • DWest Ham United 1-1 Queens Park Rangers
  • DMillwall 2-2 West Ham United
  • WWest Ham United 6-0 Wrexham

Southampton

  • DSouthampton 0-0 Bolton Wanderers
  • WNorwich City 0-1 Southampton
  • WSouthampton 1-0 Portsmouth
  • LWrexham 2-1 Southampton
  • WSouthampton 4-1 Bristol City

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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