Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Watford prediction
Saturday 24 October 2026, 15:00, Molineux Stadium
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Wolverhampton Wanderers a 56% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 19% for Watford. Expected goals: Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.7, Watford 0.9. Most likely score: 1-1.
WOL56%Draw26%WAT19%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home56%✓Fair odds 1.80Double chanceHome or draw81%✓Fair odds 1.23Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.551%✓Fair odds 1.97Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.575%✗Fair odds 1.33Both teams to scoreYes50%✗Fair odds 1.99Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.22Draw no betHome75%✓Fair odds 1.34Asian handicapHome -0.556%✓Fair odds 1.80Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome60%✓Fair odds 1.67Win to nilHome32%✓Fair odds 3.14
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Both teams score | 50% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.2%
- 1-011.4%
- 2-010.6%
- 2-19.7%
- 0-08%
Recent form
Wolverhampton Wanderers
- DWolverhampton Wanderers 1-1 Portsmouth
- WBurnley 1-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers
- LWolverhampton Wanderers 1-3 Bolton Wanderers
- LMiddlesbrough 1-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers
- WWolverhampton Wanderers 1-0 West Bromwich Albion
Watford
- WWatford 2-0 Charlton Athletic
- LCardiff City 5-1 Watford
- LWatford 0-4 Burnley
- LBristol City 1-0 Watford
- LWatford 1-2 Stoke City
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.