Wrexham vs Burnley prediction
Tuesday 8 September 2026, 19:45, STōK Cae Ras
Full time: 1-1
Our prediction
The model gives Wrexham a 61% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 17% for Burnley. Expected goals: Wrexham 2.1, Burnley 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
WXM61%Draw22%BUR17%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home61%✗Fair odds 1.64Double chanceHome or draw83%✓Fair odds 1.21Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.561%✗Fair odds 1.65Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.583%✓Fair odds 1.21Both teams to scoreYes57%✓Fair odds 1.74Correct score1-110%✓Fair odds 9.78Draw no betHome78%Fair odds 1.28Asian handicapHome -0.561%✗Fair odds 1.64Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome64%✗Fair odds 1.57Win to nilHome30%✗Fair odds 3.29
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% |
| Both teams score | 57% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.2%
- 2-19.9%
- 2-09.6%
- 1-08.4%
- 3-16.9%
Recent form
Wrexham
- DSwansea City 0-0 Wrexham
- WMillwall 0-3 Wrexham
- LWrexham 1-2 Birmingham City
- DWrexham 1-1 Watford
- DCardiff City 1-1 Wrexham
Burnley
- LBurnley 1-2 Bristol City
- DBurnley 1-1 Middlesbrough
- LNorwich City 4-1 Burnley
- LWest Bromwich Albion 3-1 Burnley
- DBurnley 2-2 West Ham United
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.