Wrexham vs Southampton prediction

Saturday 19 September 2026, 15:00, STōK Cae Ras

Full time: 2-1

Our prediction

The model gives Wrexham a 26% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 51% for Southampton. Expected goals: Wrexham 1.3, Southampton 1.9. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Both teams score64%

Most likely scores

  • 1-110.5%
  • 1-29.5%
  • 0-27%
  • 2-16.6%
  • 0-16.4%

Recent form

Wrexham

  • LWest Ham United 6-0 Wrexham
  • DWrexham 1-1 Burnley
  • DSwansea City 0-0 Wrexham
  • WMillwall 0-3 Wrexham
  • LWrexham 1-2 Birmingham City

Southampton

  • WSouthampton 4-1 Bristol City
  • WSouthampton 3-1 Swansea City
  • DLincoln City 1-1 Southampton
  • DBirmingham City 1-1 Southampton
  • WSouthampton 5-1 Millwall

Head to head

  • LWrexham 1-5 Southampton

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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