AC Milan vs Lecce prediction
Sunday 20 September 2026, 19:45, San Siro
Full time: 3-0
Our prediction
The model gives AC Milan a 59% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 15% for Lecce. Expected goals: AC Milan 1.6, Lecce 0.7. Most likely score: 1-0.
MIL59%Draw26%LEC15%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home59%✓Fair odds 1.70Double chanceHome or draw85%✓Fair odds 1.17Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.560%✗Fair odds 1.67Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.568%✓Fair odds 1.48Both teams to scoreNo60%✓Fair odds 1.68Correct score1-015%✗Fair odds 6.51Draw no betHome80%✓Fair odds 1.25Asian handicapHome -0.559%✓Fair odds 1.70Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome63%✓Fair odds 1.60Win to nilHome40%✓Fair odds 2.52
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Both teams score | 40% |
Most likely scores
- 1-015.4%
- 2-013.1%
- 1-112%
- 0-011%
- 2-18.9%
Recent form
AC Milan
- LAC Milan 0-2 Benfica
- DLazio 2-2 AC Milan
- DJuventus 1-1 AC Milan
- WAC Milan 2-0 Venezia
- WTorino 1-2 AC Milan
Lecce
- WLecce 3-2 Monza
- LCagliari 1-0 Lecce
- LLecce 0-4 AS Roma
- WVenezia 0-2 Lecce
- WLecce 1-0 Genoa
Head to head
- WAC Milan 1-0 Lecce
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.