Alavés vs Osasuna prediction
Sunday 6 September 2026, 17:30, Mendizorrotza
Full time: 5-2
Our prediction
The model gives Alavés a 44% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 28% for Osasuna. Expected goals: Alavés 1.5, Osasuna 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
ALA44%Draw28%OSA28%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home44%✓Fair odds 2.28Double chanceHome or draw72%✓Fair odds 1.39Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.553%✗Fair odds 1.90Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.574%✓Fair odds 1.36Both teams to scoreYes52%✓Fair odds 1.91Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.45Draw no betHome61%✓Fair odds 1.64Asian handicapAway +0.556%✗Fair odds 1.78Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome52%✓Fair odds 1.93Win to nilHome24%✗Fair odds 4.14
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Both teams score | 52% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.4%
- 1-010.2%
- 2-19%
- 0-08.7%
- 2-08.1%
Recent form
Alavés
- WAlavés 1-0 Villarreal
- DRayo Vallecano 1-1 Alavés
- WAlavés 3-0 Getafe
- LAlavés 1-2 Rayo Vallecano
- WReal Oviedo 0-1 Alavés
Osasuna
- WOsasuna 1-0 Getafe
- WCelta Vigo 1-2 Osasuna
- DOsasuna 0-0 Levante
- LGetafe 1-0 Osasuna
- LOsasuna 1-2 Espanyol
Head to head
- DAlavés 2-2 Osasuna
- LOsasuna 3-0 Alavés
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.