Alavés vs Valencia prediction
Tuesday 15 September 2026, 19:00, Mendizorrotza
Full time: 0-1
Our prediction
The model gives Alavés a 53% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 22% for Valencia. Expected goals: Alavés 1.7, Valencia 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
ALA53%Draw26%VAL22%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home53%✗Fair odds 1.90Double chanceHome or draw78%✗Fair odds 1.28Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.552%✗Fair odds 1.94Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.577%✗Fair odds 1.30Both teams to scoreYes54%✗Fair odds 1.87Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.16Draw no betHome71%✗Fair odds 1.41Asian handicapAway +1.571%✓Fair odds 1.42Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome58%✗Fair odds 1.73Win to nilHome28%✗Fair odds 3.51
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Both teams score | 54% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.3%
- 1-010.2%
- 2-19.7%
- 2-09.5%
- 0-07.4%
Recent form
Alavés
- LRacing Santander 2-1 Alavés
- WAlavés 5-2 Osasuna
- WAlavés 1-0 Villarreal
- DRayo Vallecano 1-1 Alavés
- WAlavés 3-0 Getafe
Valencia
- LSevilla 1-0 Valencia
- LValencia 0-5 Barcelona
- LDeportivo 3-1 Valencia
- LValencia 0-1 Real Betis
- DValencia 0-0 Celta Vigo
Head to head
- LValencia 3-2 Alavés
- DAlavés 0-0 Valencia
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.