Alverca vs Arouca prediction
Saturday 24 October 2026, 18:00, Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
Full time: 0-1
Our prediction
The model gives Alverca a 39% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 33% for Arouca. Expected goals: Alverca 1.4, Arouca 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
ALV39%Draw27%FCA33%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home39%✗Fair odds 2.54Double chanceEither team73%✓Fair odds 1.38Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.552%✗Fair odds 1.92Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.577%✗Fair odds 1.29Both teams to scoreYes57%✗Fair odds 1.76Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.71Draw no betHome54%✗Fair odds 1.85Asian handicapAway +0.561%✓Fair odds 1.65Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome49%✗Fair odds 2.06Win to nilHome20%✗Fair odds 5.12
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% |
| Both teams score | 57% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 2-18.7%
- 1-08.2%
- 1-27.9%
- 0-17.3%
Recent form
Alverca
- WFC Famalicao 1-4 Alverca
- WAlverca 1-0 Rio Ave
- WC.D. Nacional 1-3 Alverca
- LAlverca 1-2 Braga
- DAlverca 1-1 Santa Clara
Arouca
- WArouca 1-0 Estrela
- DSporting CP 2-2 Arouca
- LArouca 1-2 Santa Clara
- DEstoril 0-0 Arouca
- WArouca 2-1 Maritimo
Head to head
- WAlverca 2-1 Arouca
- LArouca 1-0 Alverca
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.