Benfica vs Alverca prediction
Monday 2 November 2026, 21:15, Estádio da Luz
Our prediction
The model gives Benfica a 77% chance of winning, 15% for a draw and 8% for Alverca. Expected goals: Benfica 2.7, Alverca 0.8. Most likely score: 2-0.
SLB77%Draw15%ALV8%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home77%Fair odds 1.29Double chanceHome or draw92%Fair odds 1.08Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.567%Fair odds 1.48Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.587%Fair odds 1.15Both teams to scoreYes51%Fair odds 1.97Correct score2-011%Fair odds 8.86Draw no betHome91%Fair odds 1.10Asian handicapHome -1.557%Fair odds 1.75Odd/Even goalsEven51%Fair odds 1.96First team to scoreHome75%Fair odds 1.34Win to nilHome42%Fair odds 2.36
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46% |
| Both teams score | 51% |
Most likely scores
- 2-011.3%
- 3-010.2%
- 2-18.8%
- 3-17.9%
- 1-07.9%
Recent form
Benfica
- WSanta Clara 1-2 Benfica
- WOmonia Nicosia 1-4 Benfica
- WBenfica 4-1 Celtic
- WBenfica 2-0 Vitória de Guimaraes
- LFC Porto 3-1 Benfica
Alverca
- LAlverca 0-1 Arouca
- WFC Famalicao 1-4 Alverca
- WAlverca 1-0 Rio Ave
- WC.D. Nacional 1-3 Alverca
- LAlverca 1-2 Braga
Head to head
- WBenfica 2-1 Alverca
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.