Alverca vs Casa Pia prediction
Saturday 7 November 2026, 19:00, Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
Our prediction
The model gives Alverca a 57% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 17% for Casa Pia. Expected goals: Alverca 1.6, Casa Pia 0.8. Most likely score: 1-0.
ALV57%Draw26%CPAC17%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home57%Fair odds 1.77Double chanceHome or draw83%Fair odds 1.21Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.556%Fair odds 1.78Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.571%Fair odds 1.41Both teams to scoreNo55%Fair odds 1.82Correct score1-014%Fair odds 7.40Draw no betHome77%Fair odds 1.30Asian handicapHome -0.557%Fair odds 1.77Odd/Even goalsEven52%Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome61%Fair odds 1.64Win to nilHome36%Fair odds 2.81
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% |
| Both teams score | 45% |
Most likely scores
- 1-013.5%
- 1-112.3%
- 2-011.8%
- 0-09.7%
- 2-19.4%
Recent form
Alverca
- LAlverca 0-1 Arouca
- WFC Famalicao 1-4 Alverca
- WAlverca 1-0 Rio Ave
- WC.D. Nacional 1-3 Alverca
- LAlverca 1-2 Braga
Casa Pia
- LCasa Pia 0-2 Sporting CP
- WEstrela 0-2 Casa Pia
- LCasa Pia 0-1 Santa Clara
- WEstoril 1-2 Casa Pia
- LCasa Pia 1-4 FC Porto
Head to head
- WAlverca 3-1 Casa Pia
- WCasa Pia 0-2 Alverca
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.