Vitória de Guimaraes vs FC Porto prediction

Sunday 8 November 2026, 19:00, Estádio D. Afonso Henriques

Our prediction

The model gives Vitória de Guimaraes a 18% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 54% for FC Porto. Expected goals: Vitória de Guimaraes 0.8, FC Porto 1.5. Most likely score: 0-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams score44%

Most likely scores

  • 0-114.1%
  • 1-112.7%
  • 0-211.6%
  • 0-010.7%
  • 1-29.1%

Recent form

Vitória de Guimaraes

  • WVitória de Guimaraes 5-0 Maritimo
  • LBenfica 2-0 Vitória de Guimaraes
  • DVitória de Guimaraes 1-1 Moreirense
  • LAcadémico de Viseu 2-1 Vitória de Guimaraes
  • DVitória de Guimaraes 0-0 Casa Pia

FC Porto

  • WFC Porto 4-0 Estoril
  • WGil Vicente 0-1 FC Porto
  • LFC Porto 0-1 PSV Eindhoven
  • LReal Betis 3-2 FC Porto
  • WMaritimo 1-2 FC Porto

Head to head

  • LVitória de Guimaraes 0-1 FC Porto

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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