Alverca vs Rio Ave prediction
Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:00, Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Alverca a 54% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 20% for Rio Ave. Expected goals: Alverca 1.7, Rio Ave 0.9. Most likely score: 1-1.
ALV54%Draw26%RAFC20%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home54%✓Fair odds 1.85Double chanceHome or draw80%✓Fair odds 1.24Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.553%✓Fair odds 1.89Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.573%✗Fair odds 1.36Both teams to scoreNo51%✓Fair odds 1.97Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.99Draw no betHome73%✓Fair odds 1.36Asian handicapAway +1.570%✓Fair odds 1.43Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome59%✓Fair odds 1.70Win to nilHome32%✓Fair odds 3.15
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Both teams score | 49% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.5%
- 1-011.9%
- 2-010.6%
- 2-19.6%
- 0-08.7%
Recent form
Alverca
- WC.D. Nacional 1-3 Alverca
- LAlverca 1-2 Braga
- DAlverca 1-1 Santa Clara
- LSporting CP 3-1 Alverca
- DAlverca 2-2 Estrela
Rio Ave
- DRio Ave 3-3 Estrela
- LSanta Clara 4-0 Rio Ave
- LRio Ave 0-4 Sporting CP
- WEstoril 0-2 Rio Ave
- LRio Ave 0-2 FC Porto
Head to head
- WRio Ave 1-2 Alverca
- DAlverca 1-1 Rio Ave
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.