Arouca vs C.D. Nacional prediction
Sunday 1 November 2026, 16:30, Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Arouca a 55% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 20% for C.D. Nacional. Expected goals: Arouca 1.7, C.D. Nacional 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
FCA55%Draw25%CDN20%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home55%✓Fair odds 1.83Double chanceHome or draw80%✓Fair odds 1.25Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.551%✗Fair odds 1.98Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.576%✗Fair odds 1.32Both teams to scoreYes52%✗Fair odds 1.93Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.22Draw no betHome73%✓Fair odds 1.36Asian handicapAway +1.569%✓Fair odds 1.45Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome59%✓Fair odds 1.68Win to nilHome31%✓Fair odds 3.27
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Both teams score | 52% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.2%
- 1-010.8%
- 2-010.2%
- 2-19.8%
- 0-07.7%
Recent form
Arouca
- WAlverca 0-1 Arouca
- WArouca 1-0 Estrela
- DSporting CP 2-2 Arouca
- LArouca 1-2 Santa Clara
- DEstoril 0-0 Arouca
C.D. Nacional
- WC.D. Nacional 1-0 Braga
- LRio Ave 3-2 C.D. Nacional
- LC.D. Nacional 0-4 FC Famalicao
- LC.D. Nacional 1-3 Alverca
- LSporting CP 2-0 C.D. Nacional
Head to head
- WArouca 3-0 C.D. Nacional
- WC.D. Nacional 1-2 Arouca
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.