Arsenal vs Lille prediction
Tuesday 13 October 2026, 20:00, Emirates Stadium
Full time: 3-0
Our prediction
The model gives Arsenal a 64% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 11% for Lille. Expected goals: Arsenal 1.6, Lille 0.5. Most likely score: 1-0.
ARS64%Draw25%LILL11%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home64%✓Fair odds 1.57Double chanceHome or draw89%✓Fair odds 1.12Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.563%✗Fair odds 1.60Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.565%✓Fair odds 1.54Both teams to scoreNo66%✓Fair odds 1.52Correct score1-018%✗Fair odds 5.63Draw no betHome85%✓Fair odds 1.17Asian handicapHome -0.564%✓Fair odds 1.57Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome66%✓Fair odds 1.51Win to nilHome46%✓Fair odds 2.15
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% |
| Both teams score | 34% |
Most likely scores
- 1-017.8%
- 2-015.3%
- 0-012%
- 1-110.7%
- 3-08.4%
Recent form
Arsenal
- WArsenal 2-1 Leeds United
- LBrighton & Hove Albion 3-0 Arsenal
- WSunderland 0-2 Arsenal
- WNapoli 0-1 Arsenal
- WArsenal 2-1 Chelsea
Lille
- WLille 1-0 Le Havre AC
- LNice 2-1 Lille
- WLille 2-0 Troyes
- LLille 2-3 Real Betis
- WToulouse 0-1 Lille
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.