Atlético Madrid vs Bayern Munich prediction
Tuesday 3 November 2026, 21:00, Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Our prediction
The model gives Atlético Madrid a 31% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 46% for Bayern Munich. Expected goals: Atlético Madrid 1.7, Bayern Munich 2.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
ATM31%Draw23%MUN46%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away46%Fair odds 2.17Double chanceEither team77%Fair odds 1.29Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.571%Fair odds 1.41Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.589%Fair odds 1.13Both teams to scoreYes71%Fair odds 1.41Correct score1-19%Fair odds 10.94Draw no betAway60%Fair odds 1.68Asian handicapHome +1.573%Fair odds 1.36Odd/Even goalsEven51%Fair odds 1.95First team to scoreAway53%Fair odds 1.88Win to nilAway16%Fair odds 6.26
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams score | 71% |
Most likely scores
- 1-19.1%
- 1-28.6%
- 2-27.1%
- 2-17%
- 1-35.8%
Recent form
Atlético Madrid
- WLevante 0-2 Atlético Madrid
- WAtlético Madrid 1-0 Deportivo
- DVfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atlético Madrid
- WEspanyol 0-1 Atlético Madrid
- WAtlético Madrid 2-0 Manchester United
Bayern Munich
- DBayern Munich 2-2 Borussia Dortmund
- WSC Freiburg 1-3 Bayern Munich
- DBayern Munich 2-2 Arsenal
- WBayern Munich 6-1 RB Leipzig
- DViking FK 3-3 Bayern Munich
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.