Barcelona vs Aston Villa prediction
Tuesday 3 November 2026, 21:00, Spotify Camp Nou
Our prediction
The model gives Barcelona a 60% chance of winning, 20% for a draw and 21% for Aston Villa. Expected goals: Barcelona 2.5, Aston Villa 1.4. Most likely score: 2-1.
BAR60%Draw20%AVL21%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home60%Fair odds 1.67Double chanceEither team80%Fair odds 1.24Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.575%Fair odds 1.33Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.591%Fair odds 1.10Both teams to scoreYes71%Fair odds 1.41Correct score2-19%Fair odds 11.44Draw no betHome74%Fair odds 1.34Asian handicapHome -0.560%Fair odds 1.67Odd/Even goalsEven51%Fair odds 1.96First team to scoreHome62%Fair odds 1.62Win to nilHome21%Fair odds 4.76
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 91% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 56% |
| Both teams score | 71% |
Most likely scores
- 2-18.7%
- 1-17.6%
- 3-17.3%
- 2-26.3%
- 2-06%
Recent form
Barcelona
- WBarcelona 6-1 Alavés
- LBarcelona 1-2 Real Madrid
- LParis Saint-Germain 4-2 Barcelona
- WReal Betis 2-5 Barcelona
- WGalatasaray 1-4 Barcelona
Aston Villa
- DAston Villa 1-1 Fulham
- WAston Villa 2-1 Manchester City
- WAston Villa 3-1 Viking FK
- WNewcastle United 0-1 Aston Villa
- WAston Villa 6-0 Fenerbahce
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.