AS Roma vs Genoa prediction
Saturday 17 October 2026, 19:45, Olimpico
Full time: 2-0
Our prediction
The model gives AS Roma a 73% chance of winning, 19% for a draw and 9% for Genoa. Expected goals: AS Roma 2.2, Genoa 0.6. Most likely score: 2-0.
ROMA73%Draw19%GEN9%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home73%✓Fair odds 1.37Double chanceHome or draw91%✓Fair odds 1.09Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.554%✗Fair odds 1.85Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.578%✓Fair odds 1.28Both teams to scoreNo58%✓Fair odds 1.73Correct score2-014%✓Fair odds 7.02Draw no betHome90%✓Fair odds 1.12Asian handicapHome -0.573%✓Fair odds 1.37Odd/Even goalsEven51%✓Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome73%✓Fair odds 1.38Win to nilHome47%✓Fair odds 2.14
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Both teams score | 42% |
Most likely scores
- 2-014.2%
- 1-012.3%
- 3-010.5%
- 2-19%
- 1-18.8%
Recent form
AS Roma
- LAS Roma 3-4 Real Madrid
- DComo 0-0 AS Roma
- DAS Roma 2-2 Internazionale
- WTorino 0-2 AS Roma
- DFenerbahce 1-1 AS Roma
Genoa
- WGenoa 2-1 Fiorentina
- LParma 2-1 Genoa
- DGenoa 1-1 Frosinone
- LGenoa 1-4 Como
- LLazio 1-0 Genoa
Head to head
- LGenoa 2-1 AS Roma
- WAS Roma 3-1 Genoa
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.