Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce prediction
Wednesday 14 October 2026, 20:00, Villa Park
Full time: 6-0
Our prediction
The model gives Aston Villa a 44% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 31% for Fenerbahce. Expected goals: Aston Villa 1.8, Fenerbahce 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.
AVL44%Draw24%FEN31%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home44%✓Fair odds 2.25Double chanceEither team76%✓Fair odds 1.32Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.563%✓Fair odds 1.58Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.585%✓Fair odds 1.18Both teams to scoreYes65%✗Fair odds 1.54Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 9.20Draw no betHome59%✓Fair odds 1.70Asian handicapAway +0.556%✗Fair odds 1.80Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome52%✓Fair odds 1.91Win to nilHome18%✓Fair odds 5.50
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% |
| Both teams score | 65% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.9%
- 2-19%
- 1-27.4%
- 2-26.7%
- 2-06.1%
Recent form
Aston Villa
- DAston Villa 2-2 Brentford
- WTottenham Hotspur 2-3 Aston Villa
- LAston Villa 1-2 Nottingham Forest
- WClub Brugge 2-3 Aston Villa
- DHull City 0-0 Aston Villa
Fenerbahce
- WCaykur Rizespor 0-3 Fenerbahce
- WFenerbahce 8-0 Eyupspor
- DGaziantep FK 0-0 Fenerbahce
- DFenerbahce 1-1 AS Roma
- LFenerbahce 1-2 Besiktas
Head to head
- WFenerbahce 0-1 Aston Villa
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.