Athletic Club vs Alavés prediction
Saturday 19 September 2026, 15:15, San Mamés
Full time: 0-0
Our prediction
The model gives Athletic Club a 39% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 34% for Alavés. Expected goals: Athletic Club 1.4, Alavés 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
ATH39%Draw27%ALA34%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home39%✗Fair odds 2.58Double chanceEither team73%✗Fair odds 1.37Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.553%✗Fair odds 1.90Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.578%✗Fair odds 1.29Both teams to scoreYes57%✗Fair odds 1.74Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.74Draw no betHome53%Fair odds 1.88Asian handicapAway +0.561%✓Fair odds 1.63Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome48%✗Fair odds 2.07Win to nilHome19%✗Fair odds 5.24
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% |
| Both teams score | 57% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.9%
- 2-18.6%
- 1-28%
- 1-08%
- 0-17.3%
Recent form
Athletic Club
- DAthletic Club 1-1 Elche
- WAthletic Club 3-0 Atlético Madrid
- WCelta Vigo 0-2 Athletic Club
- LBarcelona 2-0 Athletic Club
- LAthletic Club 1-3 Sevilla
Alavés
- LAlavés 0-1 Valencia
- LRacing Santander 2-1 Alavés
- WAlavés 5-2 Osasuna
- WAlavés 1-0 Villarreal
- DRayo Vallecano 1-1 Alavés
Head to head
- WAlavés 2-4 Athletic Club
- LAthletic Club 0-1 Alavés
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.