Athletic Club vs Elche prediction
Saturday 12 September 2026, 17:30, San Mamés
Full time: 1-1
Our prediction
The model gives Athletic Club a 48% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 26% for Elche. Expected goals: Athletic Club 1.7, Elche 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.
ATH48%Draw26%ELC26%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home48%✗Fair odds 2.09Double chanceEither team74%✗Fair odds 1.35Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.555%✗Fair odds 1.82Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.579%✓Fair odds 1.26Both teams to scoreYes58%✓Fair odds 1.73Correct score1-112%✓Fair odds 8.20Draw no betHome65%Fair odds 1.55Asian handicapAway +1.574%✓Fair odds 1.35Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome55%✗Fair odds 1.83Win to nilHome24%✗Fair odds 4.21
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Both teams score | 58% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.2%
- 2-19.5%
- 1-08.5%
- 2-08%
- 1-26.8%
Recent form
Athletic Club
- WAthletic Club 3-0 Atlético Madrid
- WCelta Vigo 0-2 Athletic Club
- LBarcelona 2-0 Athletic Club
- LAthletic Club 1-3 Sevilla
- LReal Madrid 4-2 Athletic Club
Elche
- LElche 2-3 Real Sociedad
- LRacing Santander 3-2 Elche
- LElche 0-5 Barcelona
- DDeportivo 1-1 Elche
- DGirona 1-1 Elche
Head to head
- WAthletic Club 2-1 Elche
- DElche 0-0 Athletic Club
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.