Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona prediction
Sunday 8 November 2026, 21:00, Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Our prediction
The model gives Atlético Madrid a 32% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 45% for Barcelona. Expected goals: Atlético Madrid 1.6, Barcelona 2.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
ATM32%Draw23%BAR45%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away45%Fair odds 2.24Double chanceEither team77%Fair odds 1.30Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.570%Fair odds 1.43Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.588%Fair odds 1.13Both teams to scoreYes70%Fair odds 1.43Correct score1-19%Fair odds 10.55Draw no betAway58%Fair odds 1.72Asian handicapHome +0.555%Fair odds 1.81Odd/Even goalsEven51%Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreAway52%Fair odds 1.91Win to nilAway16%Fair odds 6.31
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49% |
| Both teams score | 70% |
Most likely scores
- 1-19.5%
- 1-28.6%
- 2-17.2%
- 2-27.1%
- 1-35.6%
Recent form
Atlético Madrid
- WLevante 0-2 Atlético Madrid
- WAtlético Madrid 1-0 Deportivo
- DVfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atlético Madrid
- WEspanyol 0-1 Atlético Madrid
- WAtlético Madrid 2-0 Manchester United
Barcelona
- WBarcelona 6-1 Alavés
- LBarcelona 1-2 Real Madrid
- LParis Saint-Germain 4-2 Barcelona
- WReal Betis 2-5 Barcelona
- WGalatasaray 1-4 Barcelona
Head to head
- LAtlético Madrid 1-2 Barcelona
- WBarcelona 0-2 Atlético Madrid
- LAtlético Madrid 1-2 Barcelona
- LBarcelona 3-1 Atlético Madrid
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.