Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction
Tuesday 3 November 2026, 21:00, Estadio de la Cerámica
Our prediction
The model gives Villarreal a 23% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 55% for Paris Saint-Germain. Expected goals: Villarreal 1.4, Paris Saint-Germain 2.2. Most likely score: 1-1.
VIL23%Draw22%PSG55%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away55%Fair odds 1.82Double chanceEither team78%Fair odds 1.28Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.568%Fair odds 1.47Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.587%Fair odds 1.15Both teams to scoreYes66%Fair odds 1.51Correct score1-19%Fair odds 10.62Draw no betAway70%Fair odds 1.42Asian handicapHome +1.566%Fair odds 1.51Odd/Even goalsEven51%Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreAway59%Fair odds 1.69Win to nilAway22%Fair odds 4.54
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47% |
| Both teams score | 66% |
Most likely scores
- 1-19.4%
- 1-29.4%
- 0-26.9%
- 1-36.8%
- 2-26.4%
Recent form
Villarreal
- LVillarreal 0-1 Espanyol
- WValencia 1-2 Villarreal
- LLiverpool 4-3 Villarreal
- DVillarreal 0-0 Elche
- WVillarreal 3-1 Napoli
Paris Saint-Germain
- WLe Havre AC 1-5 Paris Saint-Germain
- WParis Saint-Germain 2-0 Lyon
- WParis Saint-Germain 4-2 Barcelona
- WStrasbourg 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain
- WManchester City 2-4 Paris Saint-Germain
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.