Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo prediction
Saturday 24 October 2026, 20:00, Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Atlético Madrid a 63% chance of winning, 21% for a draw and 15% for Deportivo. Expected goals: Atlético Madrid 2.1, Deportivo 1.0. Most likely score: 2-0.
ATM63%Draw21%DEP15%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home63%✓Fair odds 1.58Double chanceHome or draw85%✓Fair odds 1.18Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.560%✗Fair odds 1.68Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.582%✗Fair odds 1.22Both teams to scoreYes55%✗Fair odds 1.82Correct score2-010%✗Fair odds 9.68Draw no betHome81%✓Fair odds 1.24Asian handicapHome -0.563%✓Fair odds 1.58Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome65%✓Fair odds 1.53Win to nilHome33%✓Fair odds 3.03
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% |
| Both teams score | 55% |
Most likely scores
- 2-010.3%
- 1-110.1%
- 2-19.9%
- 1-09%
- 3-07.3%
Recent form
Atlético Madrid
- DVfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atlético Madrid
- WEspanyol 0-1 Atlético Madrid
- WAtlético Madrid 2-0 Manchester United
- WAlavés 1-2 Atlético Madrid
- WAtlético Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid
Deportivo
- DDeportivo 1-1 Levante
- LReal Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo
- DDeportivo 1-1 Real Betis
- LDeportivo 0-1 Sevilla
- DGetafe 1-1 Deportivo
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.