Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United prediction
Tuesday 13 October 2026, 20:00, Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Full time: 2-0
Our prediction
The model gives Atlético Madrid a 41% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 34% for Manchester United. Expected goals: Atlético Madrid 1.7, Manchester United 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.
ATM41%Draw25%MAN34%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home41%✓Fair odds 2.44Double chanceEither team75%✓Fair odds 1.33Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.563%✗Fair odds 1.59Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.584%✓Fair odds 1.19Both teams to scoreYes65%✗Fair odds 1.54Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 9.02Draw no betHome54%✓Fair odds 1.84Asian handicapAway +0.559%✗Fair odds 1.69Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome50%✓Fair odds 2.00Win to nilHome17%✓Fair odds 5.98
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% |
| Both teams score | 65% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.1%
- 2-18.7%
- 1-27.9%
- 2-26.7%
- 1-05.9%
Recent form
Atlético Madrid
- WAlavés 1-2 Atlético Madrid
- WAtlético Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid
- WAtlético Madrid 4-0 Osasuna
- WReal Sociedad 0-3 Atlético Madrid
- LLiverpool 2-1 Atlético Madrid
Manchester United
- DManchester United 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur
- DFulham 1-1 Manchester United
- LManchester United 0-1 Manchester City
- WManchester United 4-0 Sabah FK
- DEverton 2-2 Manchester United
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.