AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar prediction
Sunday 20 September 2026, 13:30, AFAS Stadion
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives AZ Alkmaar a 60% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 18% for Telstar. Expected goals: AZ Alkmaar 2.0, Telstar 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
AZ60%Draw22%TEL18%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home60%✓Fair odds 1.67Double chanceHome or draw82%✓Fair odds 1.22Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.560%✗Fair odds 1.68Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.582%✗Fair odds 1.22Both teams to scoreYes57%✗Fair odds 1.75Correct score1-110%✗Fair odds 9.53Draw no betHome77%✓Fair odds 1.30Asian handicapHome -0.560%✓Fair odds 1.67Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome63%✓Fair odds 1.59Win to nilHome30%✓Fair odds 3.33
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% |
| Both teams score | 57% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.5%
- 2-19.9%
- 2-09.6%
- 1-08.6%
- 3-16.8%
Recent form
AZ Alkmaar
- LSunderland 1-0 AZ Alkmaar
- DAZ Alkmaar 1-1 Willem II
- WHeerenveen 2-3 AZ Alkmaar
- WAZ Alkmaar 5-2 Go Ahead Eagles
- WFortuna Sittard 0-2 AZ Alkmaar
Telstar
- DHeerenveen 0-0 Telstar
- LFC Twente 1-0 Telstar
- DTelstar 2-2 SC Cambuur
- LTelstar 0-4 Ajax Amsterdam
- LTelstar 1-3 Sparta Rotterdam
Head to head
- WTelstar 0-1 AZ Alkmaar
- WAZ Alkmaar 2-1 Telstar
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.