Barcelona vs Racing Santander prediction
Wednesday 16 September 2026, 20:30, Spotify Camp Nou
Full time: 7-2
Our prediction
The model gives Barcelona a 83% chance of winning, 10% for a draw and 6% for Racing Santander. Expected goals: Barcelona 3.7, Racing Santander 1.1. Most likely score: 3-1.
BAR83%Draw10%RAC6%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home83%✓Fair odds 1.20Double chanceHome or draw94%✓Fair odds 1.07Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.585%✓Fair odds 1.17Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.595%✓Fair odds 1.05Both teams to scoreYes64%✓Fair odds 1.55Correct score3-18%✗Fair odds 12.95Draw no betHome93%✓Fair odds 1.08Asian handicapHome -1.568%✓Fair odds 1.46Odd/Even goalsEven51%✗Fair odds 1.98First team to scoreHome76%✓Fair odds 1.31Win to nilHome33%✗Fair odds 3.02
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 95% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 85% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 70% |
| Both teams score | 64% |
Most likely scores
- 3-17.7%
- 3-07.2%
- 4-17.1%
- 4-06.6%
- 2-16.3%
Recent form
Barcelona
- WLevante 2-4 Barcelona
- WBarcelona 5-1 Feyenoord Rotterdam
- WValencia 0-5 Barcelona
- WBarcelona 5-2 Rayo Vallecano
- WBarcelona 2-0 Athletic Club
Racing Santander
- WRacing Santander 2-1 Alavés
- LRayo Vallecano 3-2 Racing Santander
- WRacing Santander 3-2 Elche
- LGetafe 1-0 Racing Santander
- DRacing Santander 2-2 Villarreal
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.