Bayern Munich vs Arsenal prediction
Wednesday 21 October 2026, 20:00, Allianz Arena
Full time: 2-2
Our prediction
The model gives Bayern Munich a 39% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 35% for Arsenal. Expected goals: Bayern Munich 1.5, Arsenal 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.
MUN39%Draw27%ARS35%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home39%✗Fair odds 2.58Double chanceEither team73%✗Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.556%✓Fair odds 1.80Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.580%✓Fair odds 1.26Both teams to scoreYes60%✓Fair odds 1.68Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.05Draw no betHome53%Fair odds 1.89Asian handicapAway +0.561%✓Fair odds 1.63Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome48%✗Fair odds 2.07Win to nilHome18%✗Fair odds 5.53
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Both teams score | 60% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.4%
- 2-18.7%
- 1-28.1%
- 1-07.3%
- 0-16.7%
Recent form
Bayern Munich
- WBayern Munich 6-1 RB Leipzig
- DViking FK 3-3 Bayern Munich
- DFC Augsburg 2-2 Bayern Munich
- WBayern Munich 7-0 1. FC Union Berlin
- WSV Elversberg 1-2 Bayern Munich
Arsenal
- WNottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal
- WArsenal 3-0 Lille
- WArsenal 2-1 Leeds United
- LBrighton & Hove Albion 3-0 Arsenal
- WSunderland 0-2 Arsenal
Head to head
- LArsenal 3-1 Bayern Munich
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.