Benfica vs Gil Vicente prediction
Sunday 13 September 2026, 18:00, Estádio da Luz
Full time: 3-1
Our prediction
The model gives Benfica a 67% chance of winning, 21% for a draw and 12% for Gil Vicente. Expected goals: Benfica 2.1, Gil Vicente 0.8. Most likely score: 2-0.
SLB67%Draw21%GVFC12%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home67%✓Fair odds 1.49Double chanceHome or draw88%✓Fair odds 1.14Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.555%✓Fair odds 1.82Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.579%✓Fair odds 1.27Both teams to scoreNo52%✗Fair odds 1.93Correct score2-012%✗Fair odds 8.08Draw no betHome85%✓Fair odds 1.18Asian handicapHome -0.567%✓Fair odds 1.49Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome68%✗Fair odds 1.47Win to nilHome39%✗Fair odds 2.53
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Both teams score | 48% |
Most likely scores
- 2-012.4%
- 1-011.1%
- 1-110%
- 2-19.7%
- 3-08.6%
Recent form
Benfica
- WMoreirense 0-4 Benfica
- WMaritimo 0-3 Benfica
- WBenfica 2-1 Estoril
- WCasa Pia 0-7 Benfica
- DBenfica 2-2 Académico de Viseu
Gil Vicente
- LGil Vicente 0-1 Académico de Viseu
- DFC Famalicao 0-0 Gil Vicente
- WGil Vicente 2-0 Casa Pia
- WGil Vicente 1-0 Rio Ave
- LSporting CP 3-0 Gil Vicente
Head to head
- WGil Vicente 1-2 Benfica
- WBenfica 2-1 Gil Vicente
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.