C.D. Nacional vs Braga prediction

Sunday 25 October 2026, 19:00, Estádio da Madeira

Full time: 1-0

Our prediction

The model gives C.D. Nacional a 22% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 52% for Braga. Expected goals: C.D. Nacional 1.0, Braga 1.7. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams score54%

Most likely scores

  • 1-112.4%
  • 0-110.1%
  • 1-29.7%
  • 0-29.3%
  • 0-07.4%

Recent form

C.D. Nacional

  • LRio Ave 3-2 C.D. Nacional
  • LC.D. Nacional 0-4 FC Famalicao
  • LC.D. Nacional 1-3 Alverca
  • LSporting CP 2-0 C.D. Nacional
  • LC.D. Nacional 2-3 Estrela

Braga

  • LBraga 1-2 Gil Vicente
  • LBraga 1-3 Sporting CP
  • DSanta Clara 0-0 Braga
  • WBraga 1-0 Estoril
  • LEstrela 2-1 Braga

Head to head

  • LC.D. Nacional 1-2 Braga
  • WBraga 0-1 C.D. Nacional

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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