Celta Vigo vs Alavés prediction
Sunday 18 October 2026, 15:15, Balaidos
Full time: 2-1
Our prediction
The model gives Celta Vigo a 46% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 25% for Alavés. Expected goals: Celta Vigo 1.4, Alavés 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
CEL46%Draw29%ALA25%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home46%✓Fair odds 2.17Double chanceHome or draw75%✓Fair odds 1.34Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.557%✗Fair odds 1.77Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.571%✓Fair odds 1.42Both teams to scoreNo51%✗Fair odds 1.95Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.35Draw no betHome65%✓Fair odds 1.54Asian handicapAway +1.577%✓Fair odds 1.30Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome53%✓Fair odds 1.88Win to nilHome27%✗Fair odds 3.67
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% |
| Both teams score | 49% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.6%
- 1-011.7%
- 0-09.9%
- 2-09.1%
- 2-19%
Recent form
Celta Vigo
- LCelta Vigo 1-2 Juventus
- DElche 0-0 Celta Vigo
- WCelta Vigo 5-0 Racing Santander
- LOmonia Nicosia 1-0 Celta Vigo
- DCelta Vigo 1-1 Málaga
Alavés
- LAlavés 1-2 Atlético Madrid
- DAthletic Club 0-0 Alavés
- LAlavés 0-1 Valencia
- LRacing Santander 2-1 Alavés
- WAlavés 5-2 Osasuna
Head to head
- LCelta Vigo 3-4 Alavés
- WAlavés 0-1 Celta Vigo
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.