Celta Vigo vs Málaga prediction
Sunday 13 September 2026, 13:00, Balaidos
Full time: 1-1
Our prediction
The model gives Celta Vigo a 55% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 16% for Málaga. Expected goals: Celta Vigo 1.4, Málaga 0.7. Most likely score: 1-0.
CEL55%Draw29%MCF16%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home55%✗Fair odds 1.82Double chanceHome or draw84%✓Fair odds 1.19Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.565%✓Fair odds 1.54Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.563%✓Fair odds 1.59Both teams to scoreNo62%✗Fair odds 1.60Correct score1-017%✗Fair odds 5.96Draw no betHome77%Fair odds 1.29Asian handicapHome -0.555%✗Fair odds 1.82Odd/Even goalsEven53%✓Fair odds 1.90First team to scoreHome60%✓Fair odds 1.68Win to nilHome39%✗Fair odds 2.59
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% |
| Both teams score | 38% |
Most likely scores
- 1-016.8%
- 0-013.3%
- 2-012.7%
- 1-112.6%
- 2-18.4%
Recent form
Celta Vigo
- DGetafe 1-1 Celta Vigo
- DReal Sociedad 0-0 Celta Vigo
- LCelta Vigo 0-2 Athletic Club
- LCelta Vigo 1-2 Osasuna
- DValencia 0-0 Celta Vigo
Málaga
- DMálaga 0-0 Levante
- LReal Madrid 4-0 Málaga
- DMálaga 1-1 Deportivo
- LAtlético Madrid 2-0 Málaga
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.