Como vs Manchester United prediction
Wednesday 21 October 2026, 17:45, Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Full time: 4-1
Our prediction
The model gives Como a 45% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 29% for Manchester United. Expected goals: Como 1.6, Manchester United 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
COMO45%Draw26%MAN29%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home45%✓Fair odds 2.23Double chanceEither team74%✓Fair odds 1.35Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.556%✓Fair odds 1.79Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.580%✓Fair odds 1.25Both teams to scoreYes59%✓Fair odds 1.69Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.16Draw no betHome61%✓Fair odds 1.65Asian handicapAway +0.555%✗Fair odds 1.82Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome53%✓Fair odds 1.90Win to nilHome22%✗Fair odds 4.64
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Both teams score | 59% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.3%
- 2-19.3%
- 1-08%
- 2-07.3%
- 1-27.3%
Recent form
Como
- WFiorentina 1-3 Como
- LFeyenoord Rotterdam 3-2 Como
- DComo 0-0 AS Roma
- LFrosinone 2-0 Como
- WComo 2-1 Parma
Manchester United
- DLeeds United 1-1 Manchester United
- LAtlético Madrid 2-0 Manchester United
- DManchester United 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur
- DFulham 1-1 Manchester United
- LManchester United 0-1 Manchester City
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.