Como vs Parma prediction

Monday 14 September 2026, 17:30, Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Full time: 2-1

Our prediction

The model gives Como a 72% chance of winning, 20% for a draw and 8% for Parma. Expected goals: Como 2.0, Parma 0.5. Most likely score: 2-0.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score35%

Most likely scores

  • 2-016.3%
  • 1-015.9%
  • 3-010.8%
  • 0-09%
  • 1-19%

Recent form

Como

  • WComo 4-1 RB Leipzig
  • WGenoa 1-4 Como
  • WNapoli 1-2 Como
  • DUdinese 1-1 Como
  • WCremonese 1-4 Como

Parma

  • DParma 1-1 Monza
  • LJuventus 2-0 Parma
  • LParma 0-1 Cagliari
  • WParma 1-0 Sassuolo
  • LComo 1-0 Parma

Head to head

  • WComo 1-0 Parma
  • DParma 0-0 Como

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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