Elche vs Celta Vigo prediction

Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:00, Estadio Martínez Valero

Full time: 0-0

Our prediction

The model gives Elche a 35% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 38% for Celta Vigo. Expected goals: Elche 1.4, Celta Vigo 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams score58%

Most likely scores

  • 1-112.8%
  • 1-28.5%
  • 2-18.2%
  • 0-17.7%
  • 1-07.4%

Recent form

Elche

  • WEspanyol 1-3 Elche
  • LElche 2-3 Real Madrid
  • DAthletic Club 1-1 Elche
  • LElche 2-3 Real Sociedad
  • LRacing Santander 3-2 Elche

Celta Vigo

  • WCelta Vigo 5-0 Racing Santander
  • LOmonia Nicosia 1-0 Celta Vigo
  • DCelta Vigo 1-1 Málaga
  • DGetafe 1-1 Celta Vigo
  • DReal Sociedad 0-0 Celta Vigo

Head to head

  • LCelta Vigo 3-1 Elche
  • WElche 2-1 Celta Vigo

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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