Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid prediction
Saturday 17 October 2026, 13:00, RCDE Stadium
Full time: 0-1
Our prediction
The model gives Espanyol a 24% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 50% for Atlético Madrid. Expected goals: Espanyol 1.1, Atlético Madrid 1.7. Most likely score: 1-1.
ESP24%Draw26%ATM50%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away50%✓Fair odds 2.00Double chanceAway or draw76%✓Fair odds 1.32Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.555%✗Fair odds 1.82Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.579%✗Fair odds 1.26Both teams to scoreYes57%✗Fair odds 1.75Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.29Draw no betAway67%✓Fair odds 1.49Asian handicapHome +1.572%✓Fair odds 1.39Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreAway56%✓Fair odds 1.78Win to nilAway25%✓Fair odds 3.96
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Both teams score | 57% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.1%
- 1-29.7%
- 0-18.9%
- 0-28.4%
- 0-06.5%
Recent form
Espanyol
- DMálaga 1-1 Espanyol
- LEspanyol 1-3 Elche
- LRayo Vallecano 2-1 Espanyol
- WOsasuna 0-2 Espanyol
- DEspanyol 1-1 Sevilla
Atlético Madrid
- WAtlético Madrid 2-0 Manchester United
- WAlavés 1-2 Atlético Madrid
- WAtlético Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid
- WAtlético Madrid 4-0 Osasuna
- WReal Sociedad 0-3 Atlético Madrid
Head to head
- LAtlético Madrid 4-2 Espanyol
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.