Estoril vs Casa Pia prediction
Sunday 20 September 2026, 18:00, Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Full time: 1-2
Our prediction
The model gives Estoril a 61% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 15% for Casa Pia. Expected goals: Estoril 1.8, Casa Pia 0.8. Most likely score: 1-0.
EPF61%Draw24%CPAC15%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home61%✗Fair odds 1.65Double chanceHome or draw85%✗Fair odds 1.18Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.550%✗Fair odds 1.98Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.575%✓Fair odds 1.33Both teams to scoreNo52%✗Fair odds 1.92Correct score1-012%✗Fair odds 8.32Draw no betHome80%✗Fair odds 1.26Asian handicapHome -0.561%✗Fair odds 1.65Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome64%✓Fair odds 1.57Win to nilHome36%✗Fair odds 2.77
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Both teams score | 48% |
Most likely scores
- 1-012%
- 2-011.8%
- 1-111.4%
- 2-19.7%
- 0-07.9%
Recent form
Estoril
- LBraga 1-0 Estoril
- DEstoril 0-0 Arouca
- LBenfica 2-1 Estoril
- LEstoril 0-2 Rio Ave
- LC.D. Nacional 2-0 Estoril
Casa Pia
- LCasa Pia 1-4 FC Porto
- DVitória de Guimaraes 0-0 Casa Pia
- LCasa Pia 0-1 Moreirense
- LGil Vicente 2-0 Casa Pia
- LCasa Pia 0-7 Benfica
Head to head
- DEstoril 0-0 Casa Pia
- DCasa Pia 2-2 Estoril
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.