Estrela vs Benfica prediction
Sunday 8 November 2026, 21:30, Estádio José Gomes
Our prediction
The model gives Estrela a 11% chance of winning, 16% for a draw and 73% for Benfica. Expected goals: Estrela 1.0, Benfica 2.7. Most likely score: 0-2.
EST11%Draw16%SLB73%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away73%Fair odds 1.36Double chanceAway or draw89%Fair odds 1.12Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.572%Fair odds 1.39Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.589%Fair odds 1.12Both teams to scoreYes59%Fair odds 1.69Correct score0-29%Fair odds 11.06Draw no betAway87%Fair odds 1.14Asian handicapAway -0.573%Fair odds 1.36Odd/Even goalsEven51%Fair odds 1.96First team to scoreAway71%Fair odds 1.40Win to nilAway34%Fair odds 2.92
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51% |
| Both teams score | 59% |
Most likely scores
- 0-29%
- 1-28.9%
- 0-38.2%
- 1-38.1%
- 1-17.1%
Recent form
Estrela
- LMoreirense 2-1 Estrela
- LEstrela 0-2 Casa Pia
- LArouca 1-0 Estrela
- LEstrela 0-2 Académico de Viseu
- DRio Ave 3-3 Estrela
Benfica
- WSanta Clara 1-2 Benfica
- WOmonia Nicosia 1-4 Benfica
- WBenfica 4-1 Celtic
- WBenfica 2-0 Vitória de Guimaraes
- LFC Porto 3-1 Benfica
Head to head
- LBenfica 4-0 Estrela
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.