Estrela vs Casa Pia prediction
Saturday 24 October 2026, 15:30, Estádio José Gomes
Full time: 0-2
Our prediction
The model gives Estrela a 60% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 17% for Casa Pia. Expected goals: Estrela 1.9, Casa Pia 0.9. Most likely score: 1-1.
EST60%Draw23%CPAC17%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home60%✗Fair odds 1.68Double chanceHome or draw83%✗Fair odds 1.21Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.555%✗Fair odds 1.83Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.579%✓Fair odds 1.27Both teams to scoreYes53%✗Fair odds 1.89Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 8.99Draw no betHome78%✗Fair odds 1.29Asian handicapHome -0.560%✗Fair odds 1.68Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome63%✗Fair odds 1.59Win to nilHome33%✗Fair odds 3.07
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Both teams score | 53% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.1%
- 2-010.6%
- 1-010.1%
- 2-19.9%
- 3-06.8%
Recent form
Estrela
- LArouca 1-0 Estrela
- LEstrela 0-2 Académico de Viseu
- DRio Ave 3-3 Estrela
- WEstrela 2-1 Braga
- DEstrela 2-2 FC Famalicao
Casa Pia
- LCasa Pia 0-1 Santa Clara
- WEstoril 1-2 Casa Pia
- LCasa Pia 1-4 FC Porto
- DVitória de Guimaraes 0-0 Casa Pia
- LCasa Pia 0-1 Moreirense
Head to head
- WEstrela 4-0 Casa Pia
- WCasa Pia 3-5 Estrela
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.