Excelsior vs FC Utrecht prediction
Sunday 13 September 2026, 11:15, Stadion Woudestein
Full time: 1-2
Our prediction
The model gives Excelsior a 53% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 23% for FC Utrecht. Expected goals: Excelsior 1.9, FC Utrecht 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.
EXC53%Draw24%UTR23%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home53%✗Fair odds 1.90Double chanceHome or draw77%✗Fair odds 1.30Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.558%✓Fair odds 1.72Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.581%✓Fair odds 1.23Both teams to scoreYes59%✓Fair odds 1.70Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 8.79Draw no betHome70%✗Fair odds 1.44Asian handicapAway +1.570%✓Fair odds 1.44Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome58%✗Fair odds 1.73Win to nilHome25%✗Fair odds 3.94
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Both teams score | 59% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.4%
- 2-19.8%
- 2-08.4%
- 1-08.2%
- 1-26.2%
Recent form
Excelsior
- DNEC Nijmegen 2-2 Excelsior
- WWillem II 0-3 Excelsior
- WExcelsior 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam
- LExcelsior 1-2 PSV Eindhoven
- WSC Cambuur 0-4 Excelsior
FC Utrecht
- DFC Utrecht 3-3 Go Ahead Eagles
- LFC Utrecht 1-6 PSV Eindhoven
- DSparta Rotterdam 3-3 FC Utrecht
- LFC Utrecht 1-4 AZ Alkmaar
- LFC Groningen 2-1 FC Utrecht
Head to head
- WExcelsior 5-0 FC Utrecht
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.