FC Groningen vs Ajax Amsterdam prediction
Sunday 18 October 2026, 15:45, Euroborg
Full time: 2-5
Our prediction
The model gives FC Groningen a 39% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 36% for Ajax Amsterdam. Expected goals: FC Groningen 1.6, Ajax Amsterdam 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.
GRO39%Draw26%AJA36%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home39%✗Fair odds 2.60Double chanceEither team74%✓Fair odds 1.34Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.560%✓Fair odds 1.67Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.582%✓Fair odds 1.21Both teams to scoreYes63%✓Fair odds 1.59Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.55Draw no betHome52%✗Fair odds 1.93Asian handicapAway +0.561%✓Fair odds 1.63Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome48%✗Fair odds 2.07Win to nilHome17%✗Fair odds 6.06
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% |
| Both teams score | 63% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.7%
- 2-18.6%
- 1-28.2%
- 2-26.5%
- 1-06.3%
Recent form
FC Groningen
- WExcelsior 1-5 FC Groningen
- WFC Groningen 3-0 PEC Zwolle
- DGo Ahead Eagles 1-1 FC Groningen
- DFC Groningen 2-2 FC Twente
- LFC Groningen 2-3 Fortuna Sittard
Ajax Amsterdam
- DAjax Amsterdam 1-1 NEC Nijmegen
- DAjax Amsterdam 2-2 Excelsior
- WAjax Amsterdam 5-1 Willem II
- WFortuna Sittard 1-5 Ajax Amsterdam
- LAjax Amsterdam 1-3 PSV Eindhoven
Head to head
- LAjax Amsterdam 2-0 FC Groningen
- WFC Groningen 3-1 Ajax Amsterdam
- LAjax Amsterdam 2-0 FC Groningen
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.