FC Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction

Sunday 1 November 2026, 16:45, Euroborg

Full time: 2-3

Our prediction

The model gives FC Groningen a 63% chance of winning, 20% for a draw and 17% for Sparta Rotterdam. Expected goals: FC Groningen 2.4, Sparta Rotterdam 1.2. Most likely score: 2-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Both teams score64%

Most likely scores

  • 2-19.4%
  • 1-18.5%
  • 2-07.8%
  • 3-17.5%
  • 3-06.2%

Recent form

FC Groningen

  • DNEC Nijmegen 2-2 FC Groningen
  • LFC Groningen 2-5 Ajax Amsterdam
  • WExcelsior 1-5 FC Groningen
  • WFC Groningen 3-0 PEC Zwolle
  • DGo Ahead Eagles 1-1 FC Groningen

Sparta Rotterdam

  • LSparta Rotterdam 1-2 Ajax Amsterdam
  • WSparta Rotterdam 3-2 Willem II
  • DGo Ahead Eagles 3-3 Sparta Rotterdam
  • LSparta Rotterdam 0-4 Heerenveen
  • LPSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta Rotterdam

Head to head

  • LSparta Rotterdam 2-0 FC Groningen
  • LFC Groningen 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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